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Green Bay certainly appears to be rolling with five straight wins and covers. The Packers have played two games at Lambeau and both have resulted in double-digit wins. Washington has been horrific on defense yielding 30 or more points in four straight (29 or more in five straight). By the way that’s the FIRST TIME EVER this franchise has yielded 29 or more in five straight! Washington has covered just once this year (1-5 ATS worst in the league). The longer Taylor Heinicke plays the worst it gets. Last week against the pathetic KC defense, just 182 yards passing with a 1-1 ratio. The week before two interceptions and zero touchdowns against New Orleans. He’s thrown six interceptions in his last four games. When the Packers can rush the football successfully they are close to being impossible to beat. In their last three games the Pack has accumulated 154, 133, and 131 yards against Chicago, Cincinnati, and Pittsburgh. Those three teams enter today ranked #7, #8, and #12 in terms of total defense. Washington is currently #31. Meanwhile Green Bay is #5. The only other top-10 defense Heinicke has faced was Buffalo. That resulted in a 22-point loss. Despite the recent success, Aaron Rodgers keeps saying he’s not satisfied with the offense and as a team they are “missing opportunities”. They may cash some of those in against the Football Team considering they’ve allowed 65 percent completions by opposing quarterbacks and 311 passing yards per game. Dating back to last season the Packers have covered 12 of 14 regular-season games. Washington has allowed the most passing yards in the league; the 2nd most overall yards; and are dead last in points allowed. Rodgers 14-1 ratio during five-game winning streak. Washington now without two starting offensive lineman, WR Curtis Samuel, tight end Logan Thomas, and this week RB Antonio Gibson is not 100%.
This is actually a very good spot for Atlanta today. The Falcons have won two of their last three and come off their bye week. This is the FIRST TIME IN NFL HISTORY a team coming off a bye week will face a team coming off a game in Europe the previous Sunday. 99% of the time teams that play in Europe have their bye week the following weekend. But not Miami. For some reason the schedulemaker is penalizing the Dolphins. The Dolphins have lost five straight including the last three by a combined score of 95-54. Of course the ultimate was allowing Jacksonville to break their 18-game losing skid across the pond last week. Remember Miami’s only win came against New England in week #1 when the Dolphins were out-gained by 134 yards. Matt Ryan has an 8-0 TD to interception ratio in his last three games. Last Sunday Miami was without their starting two cornerbacks in Xavier Howard and Byron Jones. Plus you have to wonder how Tua is feeling knowing the Dolphins are in hot pursuit over picking up Deshaun Watson. This is hard to fathom but the 2-3 start by the Falcons is their best since 2017. Miami is #30 in total offense and #30 in total defense with a rushing attack that is #32 and DEAD LAST. They are bad in the trenches too at #23 in protection and #21 in sacks plus #29 against the pass. Ryan should light this team up! Miami is -127 yards per game this year and the travel situation this week should have the Dolphins jet-lagged big time.
Analysis of 4* Baylor +4 1/2, 4* ‘UNDER’ 159, and 3* Baylor +175 ML on 4/5/2021
On Saturday it looked like night and day defensively between these two teams. Baylor was in the face of every Houston Cougar and played smothering defense throughout. Gonzaga allowed UCLA countless wide-open shots and the Bruins, who hit 44 percent from the field throughout their first five games in the dance (nice sample size) would shoot 57.6% against the Zags. Of course you could also say UCLA played out of their minds on Saturday and still lost! It’s been a span of eight games since anybody shot better than 48 percent against Baylor. It’s been a span of six games since Baylor lost the turnover war and is +43 in that span. That’s incredible. Gonzaga is the #1 scoring team in the country averaging 91.6 points per game. Baylor has yielded 63 or less in 4/5 NCAA Tournament games so far. The problem for Gonzaga is while there’s a huge disparity on defense, Baylor is also the #3 scoring team in the nation and #1 in three-point shooting hitting at a 41 percent team clip, which is phenomenal. Gonzaga was #59 in three-point shooting and were only 7-of-21 on Saturday. They were only 12-of-20 from the free-throw shooting line. I kind of equate Saturday’s UCLA/Gonzaga game to a great heavyweight fight. Both teams threw everything they had and it certainly will go down as one of the greatest games/fights ever. But could Gonzaga show some fatigue from that game? Coach Few has been here before but he’s never won and I thought about that often on Saturday when the Zags barely beat a #11 seed. Baylor seems a little more battle-tested and fresher right now, especially on the defensive end. I was blown away how effective Baylor was on both ends of the floor against a very good Houston squad, who entered #2 in the country in points allowed this year behind Loyola-Illinois. The Bears don’t beat themselves either with turnovers. They’ve had just 28 turnovers combined in their last four games. Over the same span, Gonzaga’s had 45 miscues. I think it’s a very bad sign for Gonzaga to struggle with a #11 seed as a 14-point favorite. I’ll grab the points with Baylor, who I think is more than capable of winning outright. But again college kids have played so inconsistently throughout the season this year because of distractions so anything is possible. Remember UCLA went from a 51-49 ugly win hitting 38.9% against Michigan to hit 57.6% and score 81-points in regulation against the #1 team in the nation. That still makes zero sense to be. FYI: Tonight is the first time Baylor has been an underdog this season. Their cheapest price was -3 1/2 @ West Virginia. On Saturday Baylor scored the most points against Houston in one half this year (45) and held the Cougars to the fewest in one half (20).
In terms of the total, I doubt Gonzaga shoots anywhere near the 58.7 percent they made from the field against UCLA. But at the same time, Coach Few has to know his team has to tighten up defensively to beat Baylor. The Zags, in my opinion, were lazy on Saturday night defensively giving the Bruins way too many wide-open looks. There were 130 teams in the NCAA that scored more points than the Bruins did this year on a per-game average. That’s hard to fathom if you watched the Final Four. There were times of the game I swear that neither team could miss and the Bruins seemed to either convert with a made field goal or get fouled virtually every time down the court in the 2nd half. Gonzaga has to be taking the mindset they have to play better defense tonight and good teams usually do following an embarrassing effort defensively. Baylor also shot lights out against Houston and let’s not forget the Cougars were #2 in the nation allowing 58.2 points per game behind Loyola-Chicago. There are currently 137 teams in the country that play better defense than Gonzaga in terms of points per game. 48 for Baylor. That’s kind of shocking for the #1 team in the nation and considering the amount of feeble opponents they play in the Big West twice this year. I’m going ‘UNDER’ this total. Obviously this number was going to be inflated after watching Gonzaga and UCLA and the way Baylor performed offensively against Houston. But both teams have to averaged 40-points per half for this game to go ‘OVER’ providing no overtime. That’s a ton. Plus it’s not like Gonzaga tries to beat you with non-stop three-point shooting. Baylor looks awfully quick to get beat off the dribble. Championship game totals are always set high. I’ll go low. I just can’t see both of these teams hitting 53 percent or better and that’s what it will take to get ‘OVER’ 159.
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Kudos to 10* Totals Club hitting 10* on Northern Ky ‘OVER’ 129 on Tuesday
10* Totals Club now 42-25 w/ all NCAA Totals. 4-1 last five rated 10
Analysis of 5* Duquesne +6 on the buy Tuesday:
In their last eight games since January 26th, Duquesne has only lost one game by more than three points and that was to mighty Dayton by 10 on the road. The Dukes are 20-8 overall, 10-5 on the road, and 10-6 in league play. This has been their best season in a number of years. They take on VCU who has lost outright in 5/6 and really struggling offensively failing to exceed 62-points in 4/5. I can’t say with any conviction the Dukes are a defensive juggernaut but they can score producing 67 or more in 8/9 and reaching the 80-point plateau in four of them. VCU has been a solid go-against all season with a 10-19 spread ledger and 3-12 ATS on the season after playing one or more consecutive ‘UNDERS’. I think the Dukes stay competitive tonight. What’s remarkable about VCU is they only have one healthy double-digit scorer in forward Marcus Santos-Silva at 12.4 points per game. 2nd-leading scorer, guard De’Riante Jenkins at 10.7 per game, is out indefinitely with ‘personal’ reasons. Third-leading scorer, guard Marcus Evans at 9.9 a game, is out with a knee injury he sustained on 2/24. Duquesne has five starters that average between 14-4 and 9.0 points per game and all are healthy including a senior and three juniors. Duquesne has already had a nice 82-68 road win at St. Louis, where VCU lost on 2/21 by a 80-62 count. The Rams are struggling without their 2nd and 3rd leading scorers and without many options offensively. I feel like I have the better team catching points and love the idea of +6 on the buy.
Analysis of 4 1/2* Arkansas ‘OVER’ 154 1/2 on Wednesday:
I can’t imagine seeing any defense tonight for LSU and Arkansas. The Razorbacks are an incredible 12-1 ‘OVER’ in their last 13 games. I projected this total to be in the low 160’s so there is some value. LSU had a 7-game ‘OVER’ streak snapped by lackadaisical Texas A&M in their last game. But consider this: The last meeting between these two teams produced a 79-77 final and LSU shot only 40.9 percent from the floor including 4-of-15 from beyond the arc (26%) and missed seven free throws (21-of-28). In the prior two meetings before that the final scores were 90-89 and 94-88. Arkansas is 6-0 ‘OVER’ off a road loss and got beat at Georgia on Saturday. The Hogs are 9-0 ‘OVER’ this season revenging a loss in which they scored 75 or more points. LSU 11-2 ‘OVER’ on the road this season plus 22-10 ‘OVER’ in the role of an underdog the past three years.
Maingate Group now 26-11 w/ 25* or higher since Auburn beat Alabama on November 30th
16-3 Football/10-8 NCAA Hoops w/ all 25* or higher since 11/30
Animal 38-21-1 NCAA Majors last 40 days in 2019 (see list below)
Animal 64-43 Hoop Majors from Feb 1st thru Title Game in 2018
Animal 61-34 NCAA 5*’s last 7 years
Service plays in RED 46-24-4 ATS last 26 days of College Hoops in 2018 on MC.
Maingate 21-0-1 from March 7th thru NCAA Title game 25*/15* plays in 2018!
Maingate Group 10-8 so far in NCAA Hoop 25* plays
Since November 30th when Maingate had 35* Auburn over Alabama as Game of the Year now 16-3 w/ 35* and 25* plays and 10-8 w/ NCAA Hoop 25* plays
1/19: 25* SF 49ers -8…..37-20….. WIN
1/12: 25* Green Bay -4…..28-23…..WIN
1/5: 25* Seattle/Philly ‘UNDER’ 45….17-9….WIN
1/4: 25* New England ‘OVER’ 45….21-13….LOSS
1/1: 25* Baylor +4 1/2….14-26…..LOSS
12/29: 25* SF 49ers -3….26-21….WIN
12/28: 25* Clemson -2 1/2….29-23…WIN
12/27: 25* Air Force -2 1/2….31-21….WIN
12/24: 25* BYU -2…34-38….LOSS
12/22: 25* KC -6……26-3….WIN
12/21: 25* SF/Rams ‘OVER’ 45….34-31….WIN
12/15: 25* Vikings/Chargers ‘OVER’ 45….39-10….WIN
12/14: 25* Kansas -23…NCAA Hoops..98-57…WIN
12/12: 25* Baltimore ‘OVER’ 23 1st half…21-7 @ half….WIN
12/11: 25* LA Chargers -3….45-10…..WIN
12/10: 35* Clemson -28 1/2…62-17….WIN
12/2: 25* Seattle -2 1/2…37-30….WIN
12/1: 25* Houston Texans +3 1/2……28-22…..WIN
11/30: 35* Auburn +3 1/2..48-45…WIN
Remember guys, Maingate Group is the service that hit 21 straight in March Madness two years ago
10* Totals Club now 12-5 last 17 rated w/ LSU/Clemson ‘OVER’ in title game
2/2: 10* SF/KC ‘OVER’ 53……..31-20…..LOSS
1/13: 10* Clemson/LSU ‘OVER’ 65 1/2…..42-25….WIN
1/2: 10* Cincinnati/BC ‘OVER’ 53….38-6….LOSS
12/29: 10* New England/Miami ‘OVER’ 45….27-24….WIN
12/28: 10* LSU/Okla ‘OVER’ 76….63-28….WIN
12/26: 10* Pittsburgh Univ ‘OVER’ 49….34-30….WIN
12/22: 10* Baltimore ‘OVER’ 49. 31-15….LOSS
12/21: 10* New England ‘OVER’ 37…24-17…34-31….WIN
12/16: 10* New Orleans ‘OVER’ 48 1/2….34-7…LOSS
12/15: 10* Pittsburgh ‘UNDER’ 37…..17-10….WIN
12/8: 10* New England ‘UNDER’ 49….23-16…..WIN
12/7: 10* Clemson ‘OVER’ 56….62-17….WIN
12/6: 10* Oregon ‘OVER’ 45 1/2….37-15….WIN
12/1: 10* NY Jets ‘OVER’ 42 1/2….22-6….LOSS
11/30: 10* Wyoming ‘UNDER’ 41 1/2…..17-7….WIN
11/29: 10* Buffalo Univ ‘OVER’ 53 1/2….49-30….WIN
11/28: 10* Dallas ‘UNDER’ 47…..26-15….WIN
Animal 38-21-1 last 40 Days w/ NCAA Majors missing Texas Tech in OT Monday
4/8: 4* Texas Tech +1 1/2 Loss
4/6: 5* Auburn/UVA ‘OVER’ 132 Loss
4/5: 4* Liscomb +2 Loss
4/2: 4* Lipscomb -1 WIN
3/31: 4* Ky ‘OVER’ 142 1/2 WIN
3/30: 4* Gonzaga ‘OVER’ 136 1/2 WIN
3/29: 4* Duke ‘OVER’ 143 WIN
3/29: 4 1/2* UNC -5 1/2 Loss
3/28: 4* Oregon +8 1/2 WIN
3/26: 4 1/2* Wichita State +4 1/2 WIN
3/25: 4* West Va -10 Loss
3/24: 4* Houston -6 WIN
3/23 4 1/2* Villanova +3 1/2 Loss
3/23: 4* Kentucky -5 WIN
3/22: 4 1/2* Wisconsin ‘OVER’ 116 1/2 WIN
3/21: 4* Gonzaga ‘OVER’ 152 Loss
3/21: 4* Belmont +3 WIN
3/21: 4* Auburn -5 1/2 Loss
3/20: 4* Alabama ‘UNDER’ 144 Loss thanks to OT
3/19: 4 1/2* Hofstra +9 WIN
3/19: 4* Belmont -3 WIN
3/17: 4 1/2* Auburn/Tenn ‘OVER’ 144: WIN
3/16: 4 1/2* Wichita State +5 1/2 WIN
3/16: 4* Kentucky -1 1/2 Lose
3/15: 4* Xavier +7 1/2 WIN
3/15: 4* South Carolina +8 Loss by 9
3/15: 4* St Bonaventure ‘UNDER’ 130 WIN
3/14: 4* Wichita State -11 WIN
3/14: 4* Duquesne +2 Loss
3/14: 4* Fla State +1 WIN
3/13: 4* Texas A&M -3 1/2 WIN
3/13: 4* Air Force -11 WIN
3/12: 4 1/2* Gonzaga -8 1st half/-14 game (split action). Loss
3/12: 4* Georgia Tech +2 Loss
3/11: 4* Hofstra ‘OVER’ 147 WIN
3/11: 4* Hofstra -10 1/2 Loss
3/10: 4* Penn State -8 WIN
3/9: 4* Washington -2 in the 1st half. Loss
3/9: 4 1/2* Ky ‘OVER’ 128. Loss
3/9: 4* Boston College +3 1/2 Loss
3/8: 4* Drake ‘UNDER’ 140. Push. 86 in 2nd half after 54 in 1st half
3/7: 4 1/2* Houston -12 1/2 Loss by 1.5 points
3/6: 4* Clemson ‘UNDER’ 133 WIN
3/6: 4* Dayton -6 1/2 1st half WIN
3/5: 4* Miami Ohio/Kent ‘UNDER’ 144 WIN
3/5: 4* Wisconsin-Green Bay -3 WIN
3/3: 4* Texas Tech -4 1/2 1st half WIN
3/2: 4 1/2* South Florida +4 WIN
3/2: 4* Stanford +1 1/2 WIN
3/1: 4 1/2* Penn State +6 1/2 WIN
3/1: 4* Houston ‘OVER’ 133 1/2 Lose by 1/2-point
3/1: 4* Utah State +1 WIN
2/27: 4* Towson State +3 WIN
2/26: 4* Northern Iowa +1 1/2 WIN
2/26: 4* Nevada ‘OVER’ 152 1/2 WIN
The Animal has flat out owned Super Bowls:
Animal 13-3 the last eight years w/ Super Bowl sides & totals.
Animal 64-43 Hoop Majors from Feb 1st thru Title Game
Animal 61-34 NCAA 5*’s last 3 years
Service plays in RED 46-24-4 ATS last 26 days of College Hoops in 2018.
Modified Consensus is flat out scary w/ Big plays in RED:
158-103 Hoops as of 2/27/2019
Bowl Service Plays in RED finish 33-16 on season w/ 10* Totals Club hitting 10* on Clemson ‘OVER’
December 31st, 2018. A day that will live in infamy in the Consensus Biz!
Service plays in RED finish 16-6 on New Years Eve & New Years Day combined. That’s 33-16 in all Bowls in RED this postseason!
& what a football season J.J. is having. 86-48 in NCAA Football including 10-4 in Bowls!
HOOPS, HOOPS, HOOPS 2018 recap:
Maingate 21-0-1 from March 7th thru NCAA Title game 25*/15* plays
Animal 64-43 Hoop Majors from Feb 1st thru Title Game
Animal 61-34 NCAA 5*’s last 3 years
Service plays in RED 46-24-4 ATS last 26 days of College Hoops in 2018
Any questions contact Mark @ animalsports@msn.com
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Analysis of Warriors -4 in NBA finale:
I didn’t want to lay double-digits with Golden State in the first two games and split. Then in game #3 my gut told me not to trust the Cavaliers over four quarters and use them early. Unfortunately they miraculously blew an eight-point lead with two minutes to go in the first quarter @ -1 and the end result was a push and naturally covered the first half. As a buddy who is an on-line oddsmaker said “it’s amazing how much respect a home team gets when trailing 2-0” referring to the fact the Cavs were actually favored in the first quarter and pick’em in the first half in game #3 despite being an underdog in the game of more than three-points. Needless to say, quite unusual, and only in the playoffs. Now another strange intangible tonight. For the first time in this series the two teams play with just one day off so depth may play a factor and the return of Andre Iguodala to the lineup is obviously huge. In addition I thought Cleveland wasted terrific games by Kevin Love and Rodney Hood, although despite his scoring, Hood was -12 when in the game (worst on the team). LeBron spoke yesterday about the IQ of Golden State and I would concur. Having a guy like Iguodala back makes a significant impact. He was +14 in game #3. Golden State won by eight points despite Curry and Thompson a combined 7-of-27 for 25.9 percent. I doubt that happens again. LeBron did everything he could do to get others involved and I thought he had terrific help in game #3. But it still didn’t matter. Now Golden State is a game away from accomplishing something unique in this rivalry: a four-game sweep in the finals. That should be incentive tonight and Durant sure did have that look in his eye of an assassin ready to finish the job. I figured if the Cavaliers had any fight left it would have showed up in game #3 and it did for all but the final two minutes before talent prevailed as usual. I wonder how many Cavaliers tonight really want to extend this series and travel back to the bay area for a game #5. LeBron played all but 70 seconds of game #3. How fatigued must he be playing on one day of rest with his three-point shot abandoning his arsenal on Wednesday night. Curry hit nine three-pointers in game #2 and then was 1-for-10 from beyond the arc two nights ago. Yet the Warriors still beat the Cavaliers for the 10th time in the last 11 meetings. I know Cleveland is 7-2 in elimination games since 2015 and that includes three wins in these playoffs. Last year Cleveland forced a fifth game in this exact same scenario and hit 24 three-point shots in game #4. Golden State will undoubtedly be a double-digit favorite in game #5 should it be necessary and since I have yet to take them this series, I’ll back them tonight at this discounted price and figure while it won’t be easy, talent should once again prevail in the end. I caught -4 at 5dimes.com.
Last 3 years Animal NCAA Hoop BEST BETS rated 5* or 4 1/2* are 61-34 ATS
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Excellent start guys and we’ve added 5 newcomers to the panel that are paying off tremendous dividends. Dr B and Fez for both NFL and NCAA. P Stone for NCAA. W Sharp and Teddy C for NFL. NFL Premium Plays off to a fast start and Wildcat and 10* Totals Club have been especially sharp. Neri is simply sensational with the 4* moves to date.
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2022 Modified Consensus-FOOTALL..it’s here!
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